will oversold RSI spark a reversal?

Cardano is gradually approaching a major support zone near $0.62, with several technical indicators aligning for a potential bounce. However, a lack of trading volume leaves bulls awaiting stronger confirmation.

Cardano’s (ADA) has been in a slow decline over the past several sessions. Traders are now closely monitoring the $0.62 region, which serves as a critical level of confluence, incorporating Fibonacci support, historical horizontal support, and value area overlap, making it a potential pivot point if sentiment shifts.

Key technical points

• Critical Support Zone: The $0.62 area includes the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, daily horizontal support, and value area overlap, forming a strong technical base.
• Oversold RSI Signal Building: The Relative Strength Index is nearing oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal may be near if price continues to decline.
• Volume Still Dry: Despite approaching support, there’s no significant increase in trading volume, limiting confidence in any immediate bounce.

Detailed analysis

Price action recently broke below the point of control and is now trending toward the value area low. While this lower zone has provided temporary support, overall market structure remains weak, and momentum continues downward. The $0.62 support stands out due to its convergence with the golden pocket of the current retracement move.

If price reaches this level while RSI enters oversold conditions, it would signal a potentially favorable setup for a technical bounce. However, for any bounce to gain traction, confirmation through increased volume is essential. So far, low volume has made the correction appear slow and unconvincing, with little evidence of strong buyer interest.

Past retracements have also lacked significant bullish follow-through, which raises the stakes for how ADA reacts at this support level. A strong defense of $0.62 with rising volume could initiate a move back toward the upper range. Conversely, a clean break below this level could trigger further downside momentum.

What to expect in the coming price action

Cardano is approaching a critical decision point. A confirmed bounce at $0.62, supported by an oversold RSI and a noticeable uptick in volume, would support a near-term recovery. If this level fails, the door opens for an extended decline, especially if accompanied by an increase in bearish volume.